Weekly Commentary: The Perils Of Stop And Go

China's Aggregate Financing (approximately system Credit growth less government borrowings) jumped 2.860 billion yuan, or $427 billion, during the 31 days of March ($13.8bn/day or $5.0 TN annualized). This was 55% above estimates and a full 80% ahead of March 2018. A big March placed Q1 growth of Aggregate Financing at $1.224 TN - surely the strongest three-month Credit expansion in history. First-quarter growth in Aggregate Financing was 40% above that from Q1 2018.

Over the past year, Aggregate Financing expanded $3.224 TN, the strongest y-o-y growth since December 2017. According to Bloomberg, the 10.7% growth rate (to $31.11 TN) for Aggregate Financing was the strongest since August 2018. The PBOC announced that Total Financial Institution (banks, brokers and insurance companies) assets ended 2018 at $43.8 TN.

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https://seekingalpha.com/article/4254291-weekly-commentary-perils-stop-go?source=feed_all_articles

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